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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Michael Kelly

2026
Athletics· RHP · throws R· 5.0 IP· 16.20 ERA· 3.60 WHIP· 32 batters faced

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.

Too few batters faced to grade

Michael Kelly has faced 32 batters this season. A rate built on that few can swing a long way on a single result, so his rates get no grade and no league percentile yet.

A grade needs 40 batters faced. League medians and percentiles come from pitchers with at least 100 batters faced. The sections below show what actually happened, with no grade attached.

Arsenal

These cards show what he throws and what each pitch does.

Pitch mix & swing-and-miss

Sweeper
41%
83.9 mph
—
cost 5.6 per 1002.8 total
Slider
not charted
26%
90.0 mph
—
—
Four-Seam Fastball
not charted
22%
95.9 mph
—
—
Sinker
not charted
9%
95.5 mph
—
—

Only his sweeper is in the charts below, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

He rarely throws his changeup (1% of his pitches).

How to read this chart
Each row is a pitch he throws at least 3% of the time, from pitch tracking in the regular season. The bar is how often he throws it, then its average velocity and its whiff rate, the share of swings that miss. More whiffs are better for a pitcher, while usage and velocity describe how he pitches. The Bases vs average bars score each pitch against a league-average pitch in the same count, and a bar to the left (saved) is better.

By appearance

These charts follow his velocity, movement and mix from outing to outing.

These charts follow his velocity, movement and pitch mix one outing at a time, and each pitch keeps the same color in every chart. The velocity and movement charts also shade the middle of the league for scale. Only his sweeper is in these charts, because the rest were tracked too rarely to plot.

Contact allowed

These cards show what hitters do when they make contact.

Batters go to the pull side off him most often, and that's also where they do the most damage.

Pull side and opposite field depend on which side each batter hits from, so this pools every hitter he faced.

Batted balls allowed

Every ball hit off Michael Kelly this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Alejandro KirkHome run
102 mph · 23° · worth 3.2 bases
03/28 vs Blue Jays
vs Ben RiceTriple
106 mph · 22° · worth 3.0 bases
05/31 vs Yankees
vs Mike YastrzemskiTriple
105 mph · 20° · worth 1.2 bases
03/30 vs Braves
vs Jesús SánchezOut
106 mph · 4° · worth 1.1 bases
03/28 vs Blue Jays
vs Ernie ClementSingle
69 mph · 28° · worth 1.0 bases
03/28 vs Blue Jays

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball his defense ran down. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Best games

These are his biggest outings this season.

Best games

These are his best outings this season, ranked by bases saved against a replacement arm.

Multi-season trends · Michael Kelly

Compared with last season, his BB% is up.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.