Chris Sale
2026Grade
Suppresses damage and throws strikes — the full package.
Sale is among the league's best at preventing damage
The simulator expects 0.392 bases allowed per batter faced against him — better than 98th percentile of qualified pitchers. His standout tool is Strikeouts (98th percentile).
542 batters faced · data through 2026-08-22.
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Plays like…
Same archetype, nearest by rate — pick one to see him side by side with Chris Sale.
Pitcher type
Pitcher type
Where he sits among qualified pitchers on the two skills that separate styles.
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| Chris Sale | League median | Percentile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bases per ball in play(lower = better) | .475 | .528 | 98th |
| Walk rate(lower = better) | 6% | 9% | 97th |
| Strikeout rate(higher = better) | 28% | 22% | 98th |
100th percentile = best in MLB.
Arsenal
Chris Sale mixes his four-seam fastball (41%) and slider (40%). His best pitch has been the sinker, saving 4.9 bases per 100 thrown vs average, and his four-seam fastball runs 2.5 mph above the league norm.
Pitch mix & swing-and-miss
allowed 191 bases vs a replacement arm's 302 over the same batters faced
Replacement level is per-batter and can't be split by pitch type, so the bars below use league average.
46.7 bases saved vs league average, across 2,171 pitches — 2.2 per 100.
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Mix by batter side
Compared with the league, his slider tilts 17 points more toward righties.
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Chris Sale's pitch movement, 2026
None of his pitches have moved from their early-season shape.
Compared with his own earlier outings this season, not with other pitchers — and after taking out the drift every pitch in the league shows through midsummer.
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By appearance
One point per outing — how his velocity, movement, and pitch mix have moved across the season, with league context for scale. Each pitch keeps the same color in every chart.
Platoon splits
Platoon splits (EB/PA allowed)
Better vs LHB than vs RHB by 0.037 EB/PA allowed (modeled).
50% probable range: +0.029 to +0.047
vs LHB: shrunk estimate 0.361 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.344 to 0.380, based on 133 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.370 EB/PA. League median vs LHB: 0.454 EB/PA.
vs RHB: shrunk estimate 0.398 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.382 to 0.415, based on 411 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.364 EB/PA. League median vs RHB: 0.440 EB/PA.
About the typical split for a lefty arm (median 0.039). He allows less than the league median against both sides, so his weaker side is still a strength — not a hole.
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- Tap or hover any mark for its number, or tab to a row for all of them.
- His raw rate is the unshrunk number against that side — small samples make it noisy, which is why the model pulls his estimate toward a more trustworthy value.
- “Middle half of the league” is the 25th–75th percentile of all pitchers against that side.
- These are bases allowed, so lower is better. Weighted by how often he faces each side, the two splits average back to his modeled overall EB/PA allowed — not the xEB/PA headline at the top of the page, which folds in strikeouts and walks differently.
- Shrunk splits beat raw splits on held-out seasons, most decisively at low batters-faced counts (relievers especially), and converge with the raw numbers as exposure builds.
Contact allowed
Batters go up the middle off him most often, but the hardest contact goes to the pull side.
Pull and oppo are relative to each batter's stance, so this pools all the hitters he faced.
Batted balls allowed
Luck check
Escaped damage once — a crushed ball the simulator scores as a near-certain hit died in a glove behind him.
Burned 10 times — balls with a hit probability under 20% that found grass anyway.
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Earned vs. actual
Batters have been credited about 8 fewer bases than their contact off Chris Sale earned — his results have run fortunate so far.
over 338 balls in play · walks and strikeouts excluded on both sides
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ERA 2.20 · WHIP 1.03 · BABIP against 0.312 (Lg median 0.286)
Times through order
Best games
Best games
His best outings this season by bases saved vs a replacement arm.
- vs GiantsJun 28, 2026
26 BF · 10 K, 1 BB, 8 H
- Bases allowed
- 5.3
- Above replacement
- +9.1
- vs RangersJul 17, 2026
23 BF · 6 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 4.1
- Above replacement
- +8.7
- vs MetsJul 29, 2026
20 BF · 9 K, 2 H
- Bases allowed
- 2.9
- Above replacement
- +8.2
- vs PhilliesApr 18, 2026
26 BF · 7 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 1 HR
- Bases allowed
- 6.5
- Above replacement
- +7.9
- vs PadresJul 23, 2026
25 BF · 11 K, 1 BB, 5 H, 1 HBP
- Bases allowed
- 6.2
- Above replacement
- +7.7
Trends
Multi-season trends · Chris Sale
HR allowed% down, BB% down, Barrel% against down, FB% against down vs last season
Actual rates — what happened on the field, season by season.