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MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Josue De Paula

2026
Dodgers· DH · bats L · throws L· 42 plate appearances

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
C+better than 58% of hitters at creating bases
Complete Hitter

Above average everywhere, with the bat-to-ball skill to match the thump.

A disciplined contact hitter

Josue De Paula walks at an elite clip. He walks more often than 99% of qualified hitters. There are no real holes either. His weakest mark, his overall production, sits near the middle of the pack. This is an early read, on only 42 plate appearances so far.

42 plate appearances · data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. EB/PA is estimated bases, HR% home runs, BB% walks and K% strikeouts, each per plate appearance, and Hard-hit% is balls hit 95 mph or harder. Percentiles compare him with 534 qualified hitters, the ones with 50 or more plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these hitters shares his archetype and sits closest to him in EB/PA.

Alec BohmPhilliesDrew GilbertGiantsCurtis MeadRed SoxXander BogaertsPadres

Hitter type

See what kind of hitter he is, next to the rest of the league.

Hitter type

He controls the strike zone far better than most, and he hits the ball hard far more often than most.

League best:BB% − K% Josue De Paula (14.3%)Hard-hit% Yohandy Morales (62.5%)

How to read this chart
Two skills separate hitting styles: not giving away at-bats (walk rate minus strikeout rate) and squaring the ball up (hard-hit rate). Up and to the right is better on both. Every dot is a hitter with at least 40 plate appearances this season, and dot size tracks plate appearances. Click any dot to open that hitter's page.
 Josue De PaulaLeague medianPercentile
Bases per ball in play(higher = better).604.511—
Walk rate(higher = better)26%8%99th
Strikeout rate(lower = better)12%23%90th

A higher percentile is better, and the 99th is the top of the league.

Platoon splits

See how he hits left-handed and right-handed pitchers.

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

He hits righties better than lefties, by 0.078 EB/PA.

50% probable range: +0.052 to +0.102

vs LHP13 PA0.385

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.385 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.353 to 0.416, based on 13 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.533 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.424 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs LHP (0.533) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

vs RHP29 PA0.463

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.463 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.436 to 0.490, based on 29 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.682 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.433 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHP (0.682) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.3370.3790.4210.4640.506
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a lefty bat (median 0.078). Against lefties he sits below the league median, which is a real platoon weakness.

He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs lefties and the league's middle half vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that hand, with its 50% probable range as the bar. Higher is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of hitters with 50 or more plate appearances.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHP and RHP are left- and right-handed pitchers. More on the About page

How he hits

See what his contact is worth and what pitchers throw him.

He hits the ball to the pull side most often, and that's where he does the most damage.

Best batted balls

Every ball Josue De Paula put in play this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Eury PérezHome run
108 mph · 39° · worth 3.8 bases
09/13 vs Marlins
vs Jack RalstonDouble
102 mph · 24° · worth 2.0 bases
09/13 vs Marlins
vs Jason FoleyDouble
107 mph · 18° · worth 1.7 bases
09/18 vs Giants
vs Brady SingerSingle
96 mph · 14° · worth 1.0 bases
09/17 vs Reds
vs Sam HentgesSingle
78 mph · 18° · worth 1.0 bases
09/20 vs Giants

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Swing

See how fast he swings and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-09-27
Bat speed · 60 swings
71.1 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.8 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.4 mph)
Lg median

He swings about as fast as most hitters. His swing length and attack angle both sit in the league's middle range. His bat travels on a steeper path than most.

Attack angle
9.0°
Lg median 9.6°
Swing length
7.2 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
38.6°
Lg median 32.4°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Bat speed counts competitive swings only, so bunts and check swings under 50 mph are left out.
  • Swing length is how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing. Attack angle is the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt is how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own. Swing style trades power against contact, and the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars. More on the About page

Best games

These are his biggest games this season.

Best games

These are his best games this season, ranked by bases above replacement.