Skip to main content
MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All hitters·All pitchers

Reese McGuire

2026
White Sox· C · bats L · throws R· 34 plate appearances

Grade

His grade shows how good he has been, and at what.
Fbetter than 17% of hitters at creating bases

He's running below his established level this season, so he has room to rebound.

Free-Swinging Contact

Bat-to-ball first, seldom walks, light power.

Soft contact is the story so far

Reese McGuire keeps the strikeouts in check. He strikes out less often than 40% of qualified hitters. The contact is soft, though. Only 4% of qualified hitters hit the ball hard less often. This is an early read, on only 34 plate appearances so far.

34 plate appearances · data through 2026-09-27.

How to read this chart
Each spoke is a skill estimate adjusted for sample size, not a raw season stat, and farther out is better. A ↓ marks a stat where a lower number is better, and its spoke is flipped so farther out still means better. The middle ring marks the league median and the outer ring the league best. EB/PA is estimated bases, HR% home runs, BB% walks and K% strikeouts, each per plate appearance, and Hard-hit% is balls hit 95 mph or harder. Percentiles compare him with 534 qualified hitters, the ones with 50 or more plate appearances. He hasn't reached that bar himself, so he is measured against them rather than counted among them.

Plays like…

Each of these hitters shares his archetype and sits closest to him in EB/PA.

Blake DunnRedsNick MadrigalRaysYohel PozoOriolesEdwin ArroyoReds

Hitter type

See what kind of hitter he is, next to the rest of the league.

Platoon splits

See how he hits left-handed and right-handed pitchers.

Platoon splits (EB/PA)

He hits righties better than lefties, by 0.070 EB/PA.

50% probable range: +0.045 to +0.096

vs LHP3 PA0.342

vs LHP: shrunk estimate 0.342 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.310 to 0.375, based on 3 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.603 EB/PA. League median vs LHP: 0.424 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs LHP (0.603) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

vs RHP31 PA0.413

vs RHP: shrunk estimate 0.413 EB/PA, 50% probable range 0.385 to 0.439, based on 31 plate appearances. Raw (unshrunk) rate: 0.259 EB/PA. League median vs RHP: 0.433 EB/PA.

His raw rate vs RHP (0.259) is off this scale. Small samples can push a raw rate this far, which is why the dot, the shrunk estimate, is the number to trust.

0.2940.3340.3740.4150.455
← worsebetter →
Above league medianBelow50% probable rangeHis raw rateMiddle half of the league

His split is about typical for a lefty bat (median 0.078). He sits below the league median against both hands.

He sits in the league's bottom quarter vs lefties and the league's middle half vs righties.

How to read this chart
  • Each dot is his estimate against that hand, with its 50% probable range as the bar. Higher is better.
  • The diamond is his raw rate, which small samples make noisy, so the simulator pulls the dot toward a more trustworthy value.
  • The dashed tick is the league median, and the shaded strip is the middle half of hitters with 50 or more plate appearances.
  • Tap or hover a mark for its number. LHP and RHP are left- and right-handed pitchers. More on the About page

How he hits

See what his contact is worth and what pitchers throw him.

He hits the ball up the middle most often, but does his most damage to the opposite field.

Best batted balls

Every ball Reese McGuire put in play this season is drawn where it landed.
hit · out
EBlowhigh
vs Luis SeverinoSingle
71 mph · 26° · worth 1.0 bases
04/18 vs Athletics
vs Kyle BradishSingle
70 mph · 31° · worth 0.9 bases
04/08 vs Orioles
vs Ian SeymourSingle
91 mph · 12° · worth 0.8 bases
04/15 vs Rays
vs Cole SulserSingle
78 mph · 10° · worth 0.5 bases
04/15 vs Rays
vs Taylor ClarkeOut
38 mph · -70° · worth 0.4 bases
04/21 vs D-backs

Luck check

How to read this chart
Dot color is estimated bases (EB), what the contact was worth no matter what the defense did with it. Darker means more bases, so a dark hollow ring in the outfield is a crushed ball that got caught. Tap or hover a dot or a row to link the two, and use the ▶ links to watch a play on Baseball Savant.

Swing

See how fast he swings and what he changes with two strikes. League tracking starts in 2024.

Swing at a glance

2026 · data through 2026-09-27
Bat speed · 52 swings
68.2 mph
Lg median 71.1 mph
Slowest: S. Kwan (61.8 mph)Fastest: J. Caminero (78.4 mph)
Lg median

He swings slower than most hitters. His swing is longer than most hitters', with a typical attack angle. With two strikes, he cuts his bat speed about as much as most hitters. His bat travels on a fairly typical path.

Attack angle
10.0°
Lg median 9.6°
Swing length
7.7 ft
Lg median 7.3 ft
Swing path tilt
30.8°
Lg median 32.4°
Middle half of the league
How to read this chart
  • Bat speed counts competitive swings only, so bunts and check swings under 50 mph are left out.
  • Swing length is how far the sweet spot of the bat travels during the swing. Attack angle is the bat’s upward or downward tilt through the zone.
  • Swing path tilt is how steep the bat’s path is.
  • None of these is better or worse on its own. Swing style trades power against contact, and the fastest and slowest swings in the league both belong to stars. More on the About page

Best games

These are his biggest games this season.

Best games

These are his best games this season, ranked by bases above replacement.

Multi-season trends · Reese McGuire

Compared with last season, his HR% is down, his BB% is up and his K% is up.

Actual rates show what happened on the field, season by season.