Games
Every game, scored by who deserved to win — not just who did. Filter by season or team, or sort by final margin or Deserve-to-Win gap.
2026 highlights
The season's biggest upset, its most one-sided game, and its closest call
Biggest upset
Guardians4-3Our simulator gave the White Sox a 98% chance to win this one. The Guardians took it anyway — the season's most surprising result.
Most one-sided
Yankees15-1The Yankees outplayed the Royals by more than any team managed all season — a 100% to 0% Deserve-to-Win split — and won it 15-1.
Closest call
Rays9-7Neither side deserved it more: 43% to 43%, the flattest split of the season. The Rays won it 9-7.