MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Tigers @ D-backs, 03/30/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 30, 2026
Tigers
6
Final
Game 825108
D-backs
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Tigers
18%
· tied 9%
·
D-backs
73%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Tigers 9–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.