Skip to main content
← All games

Braves at D-backs · Apr 4, 2026

Simulated win probability ("deserved to win")Braves 76% · tied 18% · D-backs 6%

D-backs stole one

Braves did more to deserve the win, but D-backs took it 2-1.

  • This is the quick view. The full recap, with batted balls, the luck ledger and pitcher lines, is not built for every game.
  • The simulator replays the game ten thousand times from each batted ball's exit velocity, launch angle and spray angle, and Deserve-to-Win is the share of replays each team wins.