MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Phillies @ Braves, 04/26/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 26, 2026
Phillies
2
Final
Game 824934
Braves
6
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Phillies
7%
· tied 10%
·
Braves
84%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Phillies 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.