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Athletics at Orioles · May 9, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Athletics 61% · tied 13% · Orioles 27%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 6–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-to-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.