MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Athletics @ Orioles, 05/09/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 9, 2026
Athletics
6
Final
Game 824847
Orioles
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Athletics
61%
· tied 13%
·
Orioles
27%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 6–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.