Skip to main content
← All games

Mariners at Orioles · Jun 8, 2026

Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Mariners 42% · tied 12% · Orioles 46%

Mariners stole one

Orioles did more to deserve the win, but Mariners took it 6–3.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-to-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.