MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Nationals @ Cubs, 03/29/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 29, 2026
Nationals
6
Final
Game 824700
Cubs
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Nationals
68%
· tied 13%
·
Cubs
19%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 6–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.