MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Astros @ Cubs, 05/24/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 24, 2026
Astros
8
Final
Game 824676
Cubs
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Astros
56%
· tied 13%
·
Cubs
31%
Astros earned it
Astros deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 8–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.