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Jun 3, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Athletics 75% · tied 10% · Cubs 15%
Athletics earned it
Athletics deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 5–4.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.