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Mar 31, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Pirates 77% · tied 9% · Reds 15%

Pirates earned it

Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Reds 8–3.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.