MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Nationals @ Reds, 05/14/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 14, 2026
Nationals
1
Final
Game 824517
Reds
15
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Nationals
2%
· tied 2%
·
Reds
97%
Reds earned it
Reds deserved to win and did, beating Nationals 15–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.