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Jun 3, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Royals 45% · tied 17% · Reds 38%

Royals edged it

A near coin-flip on paper — Royals came out ahead of Reds 5–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.