Skip to main content
← All games
Jun 13, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"D-backs 45% · tied 21% · Reds 34%

Reds stole one

D-backs did more to deserve the win, but Reds took it 2–1.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.