Skip to main content
← All games
Apr 15, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Rockies 15% · tied 11% · Astros 74%

Astros earned it

Astros deserved to win and did, beating Rockies 3–1.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.