MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rockies @ Astros, 04/16/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 16, 2026
Rockies
3
Final
Game 824208
Astros
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rockies
88%
· tied 5%
·
Astros
7%
Rockies earned it
Rockies deserved to win and did, beating Astros 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.