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Apr 17, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cardinals 46% · tied 13% · Astros 41%
Cardinals edged it
A near coin-flip on paper — Cardinals came out ahead of Astros 9–4.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.