Skip to main content
← All games
Apr 18, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cardinals 73% · tied 10% · Astros 17%

Cardinals earned it

Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Astros 7–5.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.