MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Mariners @ Astros, 05/12/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 12, 2026
Mariners
10
Final
Game 824197
Astros
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mariners
100% ·
Astros
0%
Mariners earned it
Mariners deserved to win and did, beating Astros 10–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.