MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Dodgers, 03/28/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 28, 2026
D-backs
2
Final
Game 823973
Dodgers
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
28%
· tied 19%
·
Dodgers
53%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 3–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.