MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Mets @ Dodgers, 04/15/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 15, 2026
Mets
2
Final
Game 823963
Dodgers
8
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Mets
3%
· tied 3%
·
Dodgers
94%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating Mets 8–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.