MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Phillies @ Dodgers, 05/31/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 31, 2026
Phillies
1
Final
Game 823944
Dodgers
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Phillies
5%
· tied 4%
·
Dodgers
91%
Dodgers earned it
Dodgers deserved to win and did, beating Phillies 9–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.