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Jun 14, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cardinals 8% · tied 7% · Twins 85%
Twins earned it
Twins deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 5–4.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.