MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Pirates @ Mets, 03/26/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 26, 2026
Pirates
7
Final
Game 823649
Mets
11
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
21%
· tied 13%
·
Mets
66%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 11–7.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.