MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Nationals @ Mets, 04/29/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 29, 2026
Nationals
14
Final
Game 823633
Mets
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Nationals
59%
· tied 12%
·
Mets
30%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Mets 14–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.