Skip to main content
← All games
May 13, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Tigers 49% · tied 18% · Mets 33%

Mets stole one

Tigers did more to deserve the win, but Mets took it 3–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.