MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Angels @ Yankees, 04/16/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 16, 2026
Angels
11
Final
Game 823560
Yankees
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Angels
60%
· tied 12%
·
Yankees
28%
Angels earned it
Angels deserved to win and did, beating Yankees 11–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.