MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Orioles @ Yankees, 05/03/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 3, 2026
Orioles
3
Final
Game 823555
Yankees
11
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Orioles
8%
· tied 6%
·
Yankees
87%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Orioles 11–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.