← All games
Apr 13, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Cubs 9% · tied 7% · Phillies 84%
Phillies earned it
Phillies deserved to win and did, beating Cubs 13–7.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.