MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Phillies, 04/11/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 11, 2026
D-backs
3
Final
Game 823480
Phillies
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
16%
· tied 14%
·
Phillies
70%
Phillies earned it
Phillies deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.