Skip to main content
← All games
Apr 30, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Giants 21% · tied 15% · Phillies 64%

Phillies earned it

Phillies deserved to win and did, beating Giants 3–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.