Skip to main content
← All games
May 2, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Reds 2% · tied 2% · Pirates 96%

Pirates earned it

Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Reds 17–7.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.