MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Yankees @ Giants, 03/28/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Mar 28, 2026
Yankees
3
Final
Game 823241
Giants
1
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Yankees
63%
· tied 15%
·
Giants
22%
Yankees earned it
Yankees deserved to win and did, beating Giants 3–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.