MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Pirates @ Giants, 05/09/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 9, 2026
Pirates
13
Final
Game 823224
Giants
3
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
85%
· tied 6%
·
Giants
9%
Pirates earned it
Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Giants 13–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.