Skip to main content
← All games
May 31, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"D-backs 3% · tied 5% · Mariners 92%

Mariners earned it

Mariners deserved to win and did, beating D-backs 3–2.

  • This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
  • Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.