MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Pirates @ Cardinals, 05/19/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 19, 2026
Pirates
6
Final
Game 823059
Cardinals
9
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Pirates
31%
· tied 12%
·
Cardinals
57%
Cardinals earned it
Cardinals deserved to win and did, beating Pirates 9–6.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.