← All games
May 21, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Pirates 62% · tied 15% · Cardinals 23%
Pirates earned it
Pirates deserved to win and did, beating Cardinals 6–2.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.