← All games
Apr 20, 2026
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"Braves 86% · tied 6% · Nationals 8%
Braves earned it
Braves deserved to win and did, beating Nationals 9–4.
- This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
- Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.