MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Nationals, 05/07/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 7, 2026
Twins
5
Final
Game 822741
Nationals
7
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
28%
· tied 11%
·
Nationals
61%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Twins 7–5.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.