MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Twins @ Nationals, 05/06/2026 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
May 6, 2026
Twins
2
Final
Game 822740
Nationals
15
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Twins
2%
· tied 3%
·
Nationals
96%
Nationals earned it
Nationals deserved to win and did, beating Twins 15–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.