MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Brewers @ Cubs, 10/08/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Oct 8, 2025
Brewers
3
Final
Game 813049
Cubs
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
8%
· tied 7%
·
Cubs
85%
Cubs earned it
Cubs deserved to win and did, beating Brewers 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.