MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Blue Jays @ Mets, 04/06/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 6, 2025
Blue Jays
1
Final
Game 778435
Mets
2
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Blue Jays
29%
· tied 17%
·
Mets
54%
Mets earned it
Mets deserved to win and did, beating Blue Jays 2–1.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.