MLB Deserve-to-Win
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Rays @ Rangers, 04/06/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 6, 2025
Rays
3
Final
Game 778420
Rangers
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Rays
25%
· tied 18%
·
Rangers
57%
Rangers earned it
Rangers deserved to win and did, beating Rays 4–3.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.