MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
Brewers @ D-backs, 04/12/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 12, 2025
Brewers
4
Final
Game 778350
D-backs
5
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
Brewers
18%
· tied 10%
·
D-backs
72%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Brewers 5–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.