MLB Deserve-to-Win
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D-backs @ Marlins, 04/15/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 15, 2025
D-backs
10
Final
Game 778318
Marlins
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
91%
· tied 4%
·
Marlins
5%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 10–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.