MLB Deserve-to-Win
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Home
Games
Standings
Teams
Hitters
Pitchers
Tools
About
Search players and teams
Loading…
One moment while the latest numbers come in.
D-backs @ Marlins, 04/17/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 17, 2025
D-backs
6
Final
Game 778291
Marlins
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
D-backs
58%
· tied 14%
·
Marlins
28%
D-backs earned it
D-backs deserved to win and did, beating Marlins 6–4.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.