MLB Deserve-to-Win
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White Sox @ Red Sox, 04/21/2025 · MLB Deserve-to-Win
← All games
Apr 21, 2025
White Sox
2
Final
Game 778238
Red Sox
4
Simulated win probability — "deserved to win"
White Sox
32%
· tied 18%
·
Red Sox
50%
Red Sox earned it
Red Sox deserved to win and did, beating White Sox 4–2.
This is the quick view — the full play-by-play recap (batted balls, luck ledger, pitcher lines) isn't generated for every game.
Deserve-To-Win comes from resampling the game thousands of times, using launch angle, exit velocity, and ballpark factors.